Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 0.278898 0.319788 0.363626 0.414008 0.470193 0.530805 0.601017
2026-01-18 0.216898 0.273075 0.338025 0.418181 0.513918 0.624056 0.759762
2026-01-25 0.170172 0.234282 0.313868 0.418732 0.551936 0.714067 0.924724
2026-02-01 0.135494 0.203290 0.293318 0.419361 0.588661 0.805314 1.100157
2026-02-08 0.109187 0.177972 0.275356 0.419613 0.623491 0.896365 1.283192
2026-02-15 0.087853 0.155289 0.256845 0.415527 0.650635 0.978458 1.460570
2026-02-22 0.074230 0.141447 0.248562 0.424136 0.695342 1.087206 1.681976
2026-03-01 0.060896 0.125251 0.233786 0.420288 0.720257 1.168711 1.870003
2026-03-08 0.051241 0.113351 0.223836 0.422158 0.753104 1.263272 2.082567
2026-03-15 0.042138 0.100455 0.209958 0.415262 0.770496 1.334669 2.264181
2026-03-22 0.037641 0.095650 0.209650 0.431253 0.826239 1.468886 2.549701
2026-03-29 0.033777 0.091318 0.209454 0.447091 0.882592 1.607225 2.849238
2026-04-05 0.029012 0.084038 0.202573 0.450030 0.917247 1.713398 3.105551
2026-04-12 0.024783 0.076999 0.195040 0.450683 0.947627 1.814205 3.358925
2026-04-19 0.021031 0.070185 0.186839 0.448858 0.972986 1.907727 3.605196
2026-04-26 0.017938 0.064278 0.179620 0.448003 0.999767 2.004991 3.862700
2026-05-03 0.015333 0.059001 0.172931 0.447307 1.026482 2.103365 4.126884
2026-05-10 0.012915 0.053544 0.164828 0.442390 1.044101 2.185920 4.367225
2026-05-17 0.011480 0.050766 0.162931 0.451080 1.089777 2.322416 4.709513
2026-05-24 0.009714 0.046299 0.155832 0.446781 1.107942 2.408126 4.964253
2026-05-31 0.008428 0.043095 0.151556 0.448595 1.138993 2.519797 5.271262
2026-06-07 0.007043 0.038991 0.143955 0.441237 1.149371 2.591743 5.507847
2026-06-14 0.006518 0.038180 0.145852 0.458008 1.214267 2.774063 5.958902